Energy Derivatives: Pricing and Risk Management

This intermediate course is aimed at the energy professional who is familiar with energy derivative products but who requires an understanding of the pricing and risk management of energy derivatives. The Excel based computer workshops deal with oil and gas as well as electricity derivatives and contain detailed calculations for pricing and risk management.

The course assumes that participants are familiar with standard basic option pricing theory (the Black-Scholes formula, Monte Carlo simulation, and the use of binomial trees for option pricing).

This course can be tailored to your needs. A sample outline is shown below.

Day 1

Morning

Introduction to energy derivatives modelling

  • Energy derivatives – structures and applications
  • Fundamentals of modelling and pricing
  • Analysing energy data
  • Spot price behaviour
  • Building forward curves - assessing available models
  • The relationship between the spot price and forward curve dynamics

Workshop: analysing the properties of energy data - mean reversion, volatility structures, jumps

Afternoon

Spot price models and pricing by simulation and trees       

  • Review of spot price models
  • The pros and cons of spot price models
  • Pricing standard options, swaptions, caps, floors, and collars
  • Simulation for spot price models
  • Pricing exotic options (barriers, lookbacks, Asians, etc.)
  • Building and using trees for energy derivatives
  • Building trees consistent with the forward curve
  • Pricing options in trees

Workshop: using simulation and trinomial trees to price energy derivatives

 

Day 2

Morning

Forward curve based models   

  • Forward curve dynamics and forward curve models
  • The relationship to spot price dynamics
  • Multi-factor forward curve models
  • Volatility function interpretation and estimation
  • Pricing standard energy options options
  • Pricing energy swaptions
  • Pricing energy exotics using simulation

Workshop: using simulation to implement multi-factor models and price energy options

Afternoon

Risk management of energy derivatives

  • Energy market risk and hedging
  • Computing hedge sensitivities
  • Determining the hedge instruments
  • Hedging a energy derivatives book
  • Value-at-risk in energy markets - the pros and cons of the approaches
  • Credit risk in energy markets - issues and models


To discuss your in-house course requirements, contact us.